State Data: Child Care Now Unaffordable for Majority of Families
Child care is unaffordable for 85% of Virginia families with infants, according to a report by the Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission.
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Child care is unaffordable for the majority of Virginia families with young children and nearly all low-income families with young children, a study by the state鈥檚 legislative watchdog found.
According to the report by the Joint Legislative Audit and Review Commission, child care is unaffordable for 85% of Virginia families with infants, 82% of families with toddlers and 74% of families with preschoolers.
Those percentages are even higher among low-income Virginians, with child care being unaffordable for 98% of families with infants, 98% of families with toddlers and 97% of families with preschoolers.
Infants are generally defined as children ages 0 to 15 months, with toddlers ages 16 to 23 months and preschoolers ages 2 to 4 years.
鈥淩ecent literature indicates that without child care, parents are often forced to reduce their work hours, take lower-level or lower-paying jobs or drop out of the workforce altogether,鈥 said Stefanie Papps, a JLARC staffer who led the study, during a presentation Monday. 鈥淎lthough this can be a significant barrier to self-sufficiency for lower-income families, lack of affordable child care can be a significant barrier to employment for any family.鈥

In arriving at those figures, JLARC relied on the federal government鈥檚 definition that child care is unaffordable if it costs more than 7% of household income.
鈥淚n some areas of the country, including the Northeast and South, child care can be a family鈥檚 largest household expense 鈥 more expensive than even their rent or mortgage,鈥 the commission wrote.
Statewide, researchers found Virginia families spend $100 to $440 per week, per child on care, with the highest expenses found in Northern Virginia. Care is generally most expensive when children are youngest, both because parents tend to be younger and earning less pay and because required staffing ratios at licensed facilities are higher for younger children, who need more intensive care and supervision.
鈥淎nnual incomes need to be approximately 13 to 38 percent higher to afford care for infants and toddlers in child care centers, depending on the region of the state,鈥 JLARC wrote. 鈥淭hese incomes would be necessary to afford care for one child; higher incomes would be needed to afford care for more than one child.鈥

The situation could worsen. Pandemic-era expansions to a federal child care subsidy program expired this Sept. 30, and an additional $15 billion in child care grants to states that target low-income families is set to end Sept. 30, 2024. Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Virginia, has previously warned the end of the expanded subsidies to lose their child care slots, in line with , a progressive think tank. JLARC on Monday put the figure at 25,000 children.
The commission concluded it would cost the state almost $320 million annually to extend all of the pandemic-era expansions.
鈥淭here鈥檚 a significant gap between available funding and funding that鈥檚 needed to continue to meet family demand for child care,鈥 said Sen. Mamie Locke, D-Hampton, during Monday鈥檚 meeting. 鈥淪o it falls to the General Assembly to meet this demand.鈥
Del. Barry Knight, R-Virginia Beach and chair of the House Appropriations Committee, said lawmakers 鈥渒new it wasn鈥檛 going to last鈥 and noted that Virginia鈥檚 Democratic Sens. Kaine and Mark Warner 鈥渦nderstand this is a problem.鈥
鈥淭hey鈥檙e the ones who kind of put a mandate on the state of Virginia, because they, Congress, gave us this money to help us in a time when we needed help,鈥 he said. 鈥淪ometimes it鈥檚 hard to fund the problem and pull the plug on it.鈥
In an Oct. 10 letter in response to JLARC鈥檚 findings, Virginia Secretary of Health and Human Services John Littel wrote that the impending drop in child care subsidy funding 鈥渟hould receive a disproportionate share of attention.鈥
Littel further said it was 鈥渋mperative鈥 that Virginia 鈥渁nalyze the full ecosystem of child care programming鈥 and 鈥渇acilitate a more extensive dialogue around solutions that address the full spectrum of cost-driving factors.鈥
鈥淭his review must include reducing regulatory burdens that impede flexibility and fostering discussions about private sector innovation to build sustainable capacity,鈥 he wrote. 鈥淎dditionally, increasing home-based care options and expanding opportunities provided by houses of worship and other community partners will be critical to expanding choices for families.鈥
While JLARC found that regulations do influence child care costs, it concluded that 鈥渕ost of Virginia鈥檚 regulations appear appropriate.鈥
On Monday, Papps said that staffing ratios 鈥 the number of children a child care worker is allowed to oversee 鈥 are the most significant regulation impacting costs.
鈥淗owever, when compared to staffing ratios in other states, Virginia鈥檚 ratios were relatively similar to ratios in other states,鈥 she said.
Currently, Virginia requires licensed providers to have one staff member for every four infants, every five toddlers or every eight to 10 preschoolers. Amendments to the state budget temporarily relaxed those ratios for centers that participate in the federal subsidy program through June 30, 2024 in an effort to help with staffing shortages.
A JLARC survey of child care providers found that most 鈥渄o not believe that regulations seem too stringent or not stringent enough.鈥
鈥淛ust one-third of providers reported at least some regulations are too stringent,鈥 the commission wrote. 鈥淔urther, most child care providers and other relevant stakeholders interviewed reported that the state鈥檚 regulations seem appropriate to maintain children鈥檚 health and safety, and the staffing ratios create manageable working conditions.鈥
However, the commission noted that Virginia鈥檚 background check requirements are stricter than those in other states and federal guidance, and that materials included in required staff training aren鈥檛 always relevant.
Papps pointed to staffing challenges as 鈥渢he root of the child care access and affordability issue.鈥
鈥淐hild care workers are generally earning relatively low wages 鈥 wages that would put many of these workers below the self-sufficiency standard,鈥 she said. JLARC found that on average, 鈥渓ead teachers鈥 in child care centers earned $16 per hour in fall 2022, while assistants earned $13 per hour.
鈥淗igher compensation leads to more staff, increasing the availability of care but increasing the cost and decreasing the affordability of care,鈥 Papps said. 鈥淟ower compensation decreases operating costs, lowering the cost of care paid by parents, but can lead to staffing shortages that limit providers鈥 capacity.鈥
Del. Bobby Orrock, R-Spotsylvania, called the situation 鈥渁 catch-22.鈥
鈥淚n order to have more availability, you鈥檙e going to have to increase the cost, ergo making it less affordable,鈥 he said. 鈥淪o y鈥檃ll鈥檚 recommendation is: 鈥楪ood luck.鈥 鈥
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